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充满、遍布——以大量的方式存在或出现
"European maps of Africa in this period distinguished between kingdoms and teemed with information, even if some of it was derived from outdated sources."
揭穿……的谎言、证明……是虚假的——以实际行动或事实否定某种说法
"Over time the sheer brutality of the plantation system gave the lie to the Roman justification of slavery as a form of mercy."
赎罪、补偿——为过错所做的弥补行为
"The Intellectual Origins of American Slavery combs through legal treatises, maps and travel books in order to recast the beginnings of what has become known as 'racial slavery'."
重新塑造、重新阐释——从根本上改变对某事物的理解框架或叙述方式
"The Intellectual Origins of American Slavery combs through legal treatises, maps and travel books in order to recast the beginnings of what has become known as 'racial slavery'."
语气坚决的、强调性的——以明确的、不容置疑的方式表达立场
"Harpham is emphatic that the English didn't originally enslave Africans out of racial prejudice."
推卸责任、将责任转嫁给他人
"Above all, the long-standing existence of slavery in Africa, and its origin in what Harpham calls 'the order and sophistication of African life', structured no less than Europe by statecraft and law-making, helped the British pass the buck for their own involvement: they were not the originators of the institution."
异教信仰、未开化状态——在此语境中指非洲人因不信仰基督教而被视为的'缺陷'
"They had treated African 'heathenism' as a 'fundamental defect' and dismissed African societies and culture as 'savage'."
仔细搜索、彻底梳理——指系统而详尽地翻阅大量材料以寻找信息
"The Intellectual Origins of American Slavery combs through legal treatises, maps and travel books in order to recast the beginnings of what has become known as 'racial slavery'."
(合同等中的)细则、小字条款
"The fine print says: 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by 31 December 2026, 11.59 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.'"
技术性细节(常指借以规避实质的琐碎规定)
"Sometimes the platform, which has the final say, will resolve the market on the basis of a contentious technicality, which traders call a 'rulescuck'."
期望值(概率论中,一项赌注/决策的平均可能收益)
"He admitted there was 'no certainty, apart from faith' in God's existence, and acknowledged the logic of doubt, the lack of evidence, the seeming impossibility of miracles. But still, he argued, faith was a bet worth making: if the expected value of a wager is a function of its likelihood and the benefits that winning will bring – probability multiplied by expected utility, in modern terms – then the better the potential outcome, the slimmer the chance required to justify the risk."
(金融/加密圈)大户、巨鲸(能凭一己之力撬动市场的巨量持仓者)
"The entirely predictable problem is that 95 per cent of UMA is held by a small group of 'whales' – a term for participants who trade in large enough volumes to move a market on their own – each of whom owns at least 1 per cent of the total."
意外之财、天上掉下来的好处
"Marking time through a series of 'settlements' and 'closes', hoping for a windfall, may look like the best way to buffer oneself against an uncertain future."
缓冲、使免受冲击(此处指用作抵御不确定未来的保障手段)
"Marking time through a series of 'settlements' and 'closes', hoping for a windfall, may look like the best way to buffer oneself against an uncertain future."
恳求、哀求(此处指对金融市场权力的卑躬屈膝)
"Such people may think they are 'courageous' or 'gutsy' because they take 'risks' (this is the way people in the financial sector have always talked), but the whole charade is a profitable supplication to, even a cowering before, the power of 'the markets'."
(因恐惧而)蜷缩、畏缩
"Such people may think they are 'courageous' or 'gutsy' because they take 'risks' (this is the way people in the financial sector have always talked), but the whole charade is a profitable supplication to, even a cowering before, the power of 'the markets'."
严重失衡的、一边倒的
"The lopsided distribution of earnings on prediction markets is often held up as proof that the markets reward those with the most accurate foresight."
装模作样的把戏、明显的做戏
"Such people may think they are 'courageous' or 'gutsy' because they take 'risks' (this is the way people in the financial sector have always talked), but the whole charade is a profitable supplication to, even a cowering before, the power of 'the markets'."
概念上的扭曲、生搬硬套的解释
"This conceptual contortion is the way the CFTC under Trump justifies its eager accommodation of prediction markets' efforts to 'financialise everything'."
骗取拨款的花招、(表面正经实为诈骗的)折腾勾当
"One of the fastest-growing forms of market manipulation on these platforms is closer to old-school financial boondogglery."
亲信、狐朋狗党(尤指凭关系而非能力获利的旧交)
"Selig and his cronies are rich anti-regulators who have devoted themselves to defending the crypto industry and now the prediction markets, and to actively undermining any significant limits on their operation."
(金融交易的)交收、结算(合约到期时按价差支付)
"The time horizons are very short – five minutes, fifteen minutes, an hour, four hours – and if the price goes up or down before settlement time, it doesn't matter: the price at the end is the only thing that counts."
使人无精打采、消磨活力的
"Like any kind of gambling, they are enervating."
溺爱、姑息纵容
"Selig has repeatedly insisted that the industry is subject only to the CFTC's oversight – 'coddling' would be another way of putting it – and has sued at least nine states for 'regulatory overreach'."
窃盗统治;盗贼政治(统治集团以侵吞公产牟利的政权)
"Big players in his kleptocracy immediately got involved in the industry, both as major investors and as 'advisers'."
(凭借压倒性力量)碾压、强行推进;把对方彻底压制
"In May, the New York Times reported that the CFTC had been 'steamrolled' by the firms it is supposed to regulate, but that is to assume there is a meaningful separation between the regulator and the regulated."
基点(金融计量单位,1基点=万分之一即0.01%)
"Normally, the price of Bitcoin doesn't change very much over such short periods, maybe a few basis points (one-hundredths of a per cent)."
无人地带;界限不明、规则空白的领域
"This was a regulatory no-man's-land, a good place to build a business that encourages its clients to bet not just on baseball but also on what the unemployment rate will be in three months' time."
(长期而费力地)争辩、应付、纠缠处理
"Its founders, Luana Lopes Lara and Tarek Mansour, were careful not to represent their business as a traditional gaming operation, not least because they didn't want to spend their time wrangling the demands of fifty different state regulators."
抠字眼的人、咬文嚼字者(此处指裁决合约文字的技术团队)
"Kalshi has a team of expert word-splitters."
严加管束、牢牢控制
"Nevada embraced the industry a long time ago, but Wisconsin has traditionally been wary of the social costs of gambling and has kept the industry on a comparatively short leash."
预见力、先见之明(此处讽刺性地指预测市场自诩的'地缘政治预判能力')
"At present, though, even if that were a fair description of the prediction markets' geopolitical foresight (it isn't), coups, elections and the like account for only a small proportion of contracts."
名誉扫地的;因丑闻而声名狼藉的
"In the days leading up to Donald Trump's State of the Union address in February, the prediction market Kalshi set up a trade, a wager in all but name, on the Yes/No proposition that the disgraced Republican ex-congressman George Santos would attend."
(事件发生前的)准备期、酝酿阶段
"In the run-up to this, the price tends to move quickly towards 1¢ or 99¢ as 'Yes' or 'No' becomes the more likely outcome."
聚合的、汇总而成的(判断/数据)
"In principle, at every moment until the market resolves, the price of any prediction is an up-to-the-minute measure of the probability of 'Yes', at least according to the aggregate judgments of the participants."
成文法规定的、法定的
"These statutory inconsistencies have created some complications for the gambling industry, which includes not just casinos and online gaming but sportsbooks such as FanDuel and DraftKings."
(大量而往往空洞的)专家评论、时评腔
"It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on coup predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys."
(界限)模糊不清的、难以区分的
"Utah, where the divide between a very conservative church and an equally conservative state is more blurred than it is elsewhere, bans virtually all forms of gambling."
名义上不是但实际上是的;换汤不换药
"In the days leading up to Donald Trump's State of the Union address in February, the prediction market Kalshi set up a trade, a wager in all but name, on the Yes/No proposition that the disgraced Republican ex-congressman George Santos would attend."
(预测市场合约)最终结算并确定结果
"The key feature of prediction markets is that, unlike stock markets, there is a point at which the event being traded takes place or concludes, and the market then 'resolves' to 'Yes' or 'No'."
二元的、非此即彼的(此处指胜负两分、赢家通吃的衍生合约)
"Even if the event predicted is the score at the top of the fifth inning in the Dodgers game or Erling Haaland bagging a hat-trick against Ipswich – around 70 per cent (Polymarket) or 80 per cent (Kalshi) of the trading volume on these platforms is in sports-related propositions – the prediction market operators insist that their business isn't sports betting but trade in 'binary' (winner takes all) derivative financial instruments."
特地、不辞麻烦地(去做某事)
"But in other respects it has proved an advantage: if people aren't allowed to gamble where they are, then they will go out of their way to access your services."
使钟摆回摆;比喻使趋势、潮流或舆论发生逆转,回到先前的方向
"Then, in 2012, another benchmark called ImageNet swung the pendulum back."
如履薄冰;处于危险或站不住脚的境地
"If you ignore this, you're on thin ice."
过度优化基准测试成绩的;通过专门针对基准测试进行训练来最大化分数的(AI 社群俚语)
"That's always an indication that the model was 'post-trained' on the earlier benchmark — what some people call 'benchmaxxed.'"
可复制性危机;指科学研究中大量已发表结果无法被独立重复验证的系统性问题
"Notably, he argues, instead of creating a replicability crisis, they drove legitimate progress anyway — 'mostly by sheer luck,' in his view."
使竞争环境公平;消除不公平的优势或劣势
"We don't know ahead of time what went into these models, but we can train them for a little bit on benchmark-relevant data, just to make sure that we're leveling the playing field somewhat."
留出法;机器学习中将数据集分为训练集和测试集,测试集被'留出'不参与训练的标准方法
"Any machine learning textbook will tell you about the 'holdout method' — that you should lock away the test set, and only use it once to rank the models."
怀疑者和支持者 alike;无论持怀疑态度的人还是大力鼓吹的人(都持同样看法)
"But rather than hail this trend as proof of AI's skyrocketing potential, many in the field — skeptics and boosters alike — take it as evidence that benchmarking itself has become fatally flawed."
存在致命缺陷的;从根本上、不可修复地有问题的
"But rather than hail this trend as proof of AI's skyrocketing potential, many in the field — skeptics and boosters alike — take it as evidence that benchmarking itself has become fatally flawed."